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Council On Hemispheric Affairs |
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Monitoring Political, Economic and Diplomatic Issues Affecting the Western Hemisphere |
Wednesday,
June 7, 2006
COHA MEMORANDUM TO THE PRESS
Greg Grandin Former COHA intern and now professor of Latin American history at NYU, Professor Grandin will discuss his new book Empire's Workshop: Latin America, The United States, and the Rise of the New Imperialism. This book tells a story in which an unraveling U.S. Latin American policy has hit rock bottom under the Bush administration. He will be introduced by COHA Director, Larry Birns. |
Welcome Madam Chilean President
to Washington
Michelle Bachelet: Hurtling Toward 100 Days
Chile’s first female president will meet with President Bush amidst growing tensions in Santiago over education reform and tough words in Washington
- Michelle Bachelet has proved effective in her first three months in office even as Chile experiences its biggest popular demonstrations since the Pinochet-era
Chile remains one of the world’s most unequal societies. While increasing social spending, she will maintain neo-liberal economic policies, thus leaving Chile’s poor uncertain about their future
The foreign policy of ‘open regionalism’ seems to have somewhat soothed Chile’s historic unpopularity amongst other Latin American nations, but many do not welcome Santiago’s economic model
As she approaches her first 100 days in office, and the beginning of her
Washington visit, Michelle Bachelet’s success should be seen
as something of a miracle. This is because the 54-year old pediatrician
presents a rarity in what must be seen as the highly conservative country
of Chile, as she is a twice divorcee with three children from two fathers,
as well as being a self-proclaimed agnostic, which is at odds with
the mores of this staunchly Catholic nation. These personal aberrations
have not, however, reduced her popularity, as a recent Centro de
Estudios de la Realidad Contemporánea (CERC) poll has shown a 65 percent
approval rating for Chile’s first woman president.
It is not entirely clear if this popularity
is directed toward her or rather at the policies of the center-left Concertación
de Partidos por la Democracia alliance which first took power when
democracy was restored in 1990, and has led Chile down the path of neo-liberal
economics ever
since. This coalition consists of Bachelet’s socialists and the more
conservative Christian Democrats, as well as two smaller leftist parties.
President Bachelet will be meeting with President Bush tomorrow at the
White House. As the largest mass demonstrations in over a decade continue
in Santiago, the trip to Washington could be viewed as a bit of a relief
for the Chilean President. That may not be so as relations with Washington
recently entered one of their more intriguing phases, noticeably different
from the love-fest where they usually are to be found. A meeting between
Chilean Foreign Minister Alejandro Foxley and U.S. Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice took place recently as a preliminary to the event. At
this meeting, Rice, no longer "the nice guy" or "artificer of gobble-de-gook",
veritably threatened the Chileans, stating that if they did not withdraw
their support for Venezuela’s bid for a seat on the United Nations
Security Council (Venezuela is eyeing the seat currently held by Argentina
who will leave at the end of the year), “Chile could fall into
a group of losers…” Undersecretary of State Robert Zoellick,
who was also in attendance, suggested that any attempt by Chile to campaign
for a UN Security Council seat for Venezuela would “decisively
damage” bilateral relations between Santiago and Washington. The
State Department’s blatant attempt to openly bully a sovereign ‘ally’ in
such a dismissive manner is not the most effective way for the grossly
unpopular Bush administration to hold on to the few remaining friends
it has left in the increasingly anti-American region.
During this year’s presidential elections, Michelle Bachelet won 53 percent of the vote in a runoff with center-right candidate Sebastian Piñera, thus prolonging the reign of Concertación. Since entering La Moneda, Bachelet has addressed many of the most serious problems facing the country, particularly those within the social sphere. She has, however, made it clear that the Pinochet-initiated free-market system will remain, even as it is evident that such policies led to the vastly unequal society.
100 Days Program
While campaigning for the presidency, Bachelet boldly proclaimed that her
government intended to tackle many of Chile’s most serious problems
within her first hundred days in office.
Of the thirty-six reforms she set out to undertake, it appears that over
one third have in fact been successfully
implemented. The 100
Days Program is made up of a variety of measures which include tackling
poverty and social inequality (Chile is one of the most unequal societies
in the world), implementing
labor market reforms, revamping the ill-performing pension system and eliminating
gender discrimination. To fulfill her campaign promise, Bachelet has awarded
10 of the 20 cabinet seats to women; however, this statistical progress
has not been achieved nationwide, as only 36 percent of Chilean women hold
jobs outside the household. Bachelet has in her first three months in office
been able to push her gender policies in other areas, specifically by establishing
a women’s abuse hotline and by multiplying support shelters—no
small achievement in a machismo-charged culture. While campaigning,
Bachelet, publicly acknowledged the conservative nature of Chile, making
it clear
that there would be no legislation legalizing abortion and gay marriage.
She did, however, promise to make the ‘morning-after pill’ more
accessible to Chilean women. This subtle move is a positive starting point
for Chile’s progression toward social modernity.
Since a democratic political system was restored in Chile in 1990, poverty has gradually decreased. When the Pinochet dictatorship ended that year, 40 percent of Chileans were living in poverty. Today, this figure has dropped to 18 percent, a very significant achievement. However, this success does not embody the true face of Chilean society, which is marked by great economic disparity and injustice, while its present economic structure emphatically favors the upper and middle classes. Bachelet has tried to address this problem in two ways since taking office. Her first approach was to offer a one-time government handout of $35 to approximately 1.2 million low-income families. The second proposal was a program offering subsidies to employers who hire "at-risk youths." The subsidies would cover 50 percent of their salaries during the first year of employment. Bachelet regards the plan as an excellent opportunity for disadvantaged youth to make their initial entry into the workforce but would ultimately like to see more businesses get involved.
Chile is also marked by great disparities within its health and education sectors. For example, most new medical investment technology goes into the private sector. The resulting high prices found in private clinics directly translate into a 15-20 year lower life expectancy for those who cannot afford them. A similar scenario characterizes the education sector, as privileged children in Santiago are able to attend private schools, while poorer families are forced to send their children to often failing public schools. On both issues, President Bachelet has taken steps, with mixed results, to help Chile’s most needy citizens. Within the health sector, she added 30 new family clinics, and announced that any person over age 60 could receive free medical care in public facilities. She also signaled her support for the importation of generic drugs.
While successes in the health sector are clear, education reform is seen as Bachelet’s greatest challenge thus far. Approximately one million students, teachers and parents haven been involved in a nearly one month-long standoff that has led to massive demonstrations in Santiago and elsewhere. The secondary-school students have demanded that the government strengthen its commitment to grant better educational opportunities, specifically requesting free transportation to school, a repeal of expanded school hours, the elimination of college entrance exam fees, and the transfer of control of schools from municipalities to the central government. Bachelet has communicated her willingness to hear such concerns, stating that the overall goal of the two sides is a shared one. In fact, on June 6, Bachelet sent a bill to the Chilean Congress which would constitutionally guarantee ‘quality education’ as a right of all citizens. This measure was taken after her original offer to provide free school transportation to the needy students and government grants for the college entrance exams was rejected by the despondent students. These steps demonstrate Bachelet’s longing for a stable social environment, where secondary education plays a critical role. This desire was exhibited during her State of the Union Address on May 21 when she said, “I am convinced that inequality starts in the cradle.” This thinking has granted her notable success at the other end of the educational ladder, beginning with her opening up of over 30 new daycare centers and her efforts to make access to pre-school education easier by expanding the number of free public school seats.
Sky-high Expectations for ‘Open
Regionalism’
After Bachelet's nearly first 100 days, Chileans and foreigners alike
have high hopes for her full four-year term. Venezuelan
President Hugo Chávez has declared himself a close ally of President
Bachelet and has praised her Allendista credentials. At the
same time, President Bush feels that Chile, under the Bachelet government,
could
be a constructive partner on the continent. Some are even calling on
her to act as an interlucator between the feuding Bush and Chávez camps.
She has adamantly rejected this role, suggesting that taking on such
a responsibility could be seen as an act of "arrogance." Bachelet
has, however, called upon Western governments, namely the State Department,
to stop degrading such countries as Venezuela and Bolivia, declaring
that every country is different and that democratic-elected leaders should
be respected. Chile’s foreign policy can be described as an ‘open
regionalism,’ which calls for the respect of multilateralism, regional
integration, UN reform and cooperation with the EU and the U.S.
Chile’s policy regarding foreign trade matters faces several major challenges. Nearly 70 percent of Chile’s economy stems from foreign trade which makes regional stability a subject of the highest concern for Santiago policy makers. Since 1990, the Concertación alliance has made only very small changes to Pinochet’s free-market economic policies and has benefited from the policy of expanding the economy, with the poor paying much of the price. This, coupled with President Bachelet’s pronouncements that globalization is a necessity for any country to grow and that IMF guidelines should be followed, has proven very provocative for some of the continent’s most doughty leftist leaders. In addition, Chile’s new president has proclaimed that the U.S. is a ‘strategic ally’ (even though the aforementioned diplomatic spat may alter this relationship) and has backed the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA). At the moment, Chile has Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with several countries, including China, the European Union and the United States. These deals were the result of initiatives put forth by the previous Ricardo Lagos government. Chile remains the most favored investment site for foreigners seeking to invest in Latin America due to its willingness to abide by the World Bank, IMF and WTO guidelines. Many Latin American leaders, however, do not see Chile as the appropriate economic model for their respective states because of the inequalities that such neo-liberal policies spur and the non-attractive manner in which Chile achieved its economic miracle. President Bachelet addressed this concern by stating, “I do not support global trade where half the workers of the world—1.4 billion people—are trapped in poverty and unable to earn more than two dollars a day per family unit.” It is apparent that Bachelet, in her time in office, intends to place a greater emphasis on social justice, thus creating a more level playing field within Chilean society and the global marketplace as a whole. Another important symbolic act is Bachelet’s proposed prevention of further privatization of the remaining state industries.
A Pinochet Legacy: Inequitable Privatized
Pensions
The most publicized reform that the new president has undertaken has been
the overhaul of the Pinochet-era pension system. Just after taking office,
President Bachelet set up a Pension Reform Advisory Council in order
to mend the severely flawed Pinochet-era pension fund that was privatized
by the dictator in 1981. The pension-fund only works for those who could
afford to make contributions to it, a task which only about half of Chile’s
16 million could undertake. Many have come to see the system as grossly
defective. While employers can make tremendous profits from its operations,
pensioners
are likely to receive only minimum payments. The alternative to this
patently unjust status quo is the also flawed Minimum State Pension System
which doles out a mere $150 monthly. Some good news came, however, on
April 12, when the Chamber of Deputies (Chile’s lower
house of congress) passed the Pension Readjustment Bill that was backed
by the Bachelet administration. This
measure will raise the supplementary
and minimum pensions by ten percent and will grant low-income seniors
universal access to supplementary pensions.
Chile’s Super-Commodity
The social programs that Bachelet proposed under the 100 Days Program will
be financed by the country’s most profitable commodity, copper,
a resource that presently accounts for 45 percent of Chile’s exports.
Chile is the world’s leading supplier of copper
and the state-owned Codelco is the world’s largest copper
mining firm. The price of copper today has reached record levels and is
currently
around $4 a pound. These elevated copper prices have blessed Chile with
a huge budgetary surplus. As a result, Chileans have confidence that Bachelet
will be able to deliver on her promise to increase funding for social programs
that target areas such as education and healthcare, though the recent
student demonstrations may have diminished Bachelet’s capacity to
achieve educational reform. In her State of the Union Address on May 21,
President Bachelet stated that her government will continue the conservative
fiscal policy of retaining a one percent budget surplus for a five-year
period. She also stated that Chile will nurse its copper profits to guard
against the market volatility of the commodity, producing a rainy day fund.
Dealing with its Rotten Past
Since taking power in 1990, the Concertación alliance has failed
to exert indisputable control over Chile’s powerful military establishment.
This reality was due in part to an electoral law decreed by the former
Pinochet regime that was designed to restrict the political left from playing
an effective role in Chilean politics. The "Binomial System," as
it is called, grants right-wing politicians 35 percent of the votes and
50 percent of the seats in the Congreso Nacional. President Bachelet
has promised to rid Chile of this Pinochet
remnant, but has yet to gather enough political steam to force the change,
even as the far-left stridently
demands for her to act.
Regarding retribution for past human rights violations committed by the Pinochet regime, the new president has shown quite clearly her desire to obtain "truth and justice." She has stated that her government will not accept any law that gives reprieve to human rights abuses committed by the dictatorship. She also announced her desire to create an Institute for Human Rights, which would directly counter Chile’s right-wing forces that have time and again fashioned laws that protect the rank and file of Pinochet’s death squads.
For many years it has been recognized that Pinochet-era amnesty laws, meant to shield suspected human rights violators, are still blocking any final form of truth, reconciliation or justice, leaving the perpetrators responsible for about 3,000 deaths free of judgment. Bachelet, who was herself a victim of torture from the period of military rule, feels that human rights should be the centerpiece for any morally-constituted government. She is also committed to ratifying major human rights treaties, particularly the Rome Statute which created the International Criminal Court. Most refreshingly, Bachelet seems to be leading her nation away from the grim past as she insisted that, “the country of hate and enemies…is now behind us.” The effectiveness of this approach is yet to be seen, but for the sake of nearly 16 million Chileans, reconciliation is desperately needed.
Neither Lagos nor Chávez
It is obvious that Michelle Bachelet is not part of the same category of
leftist leaders known as the "pink tide", which have emerged
in South America over the past several years. An example of her contrasting
governing style is the three percent royalty that presently is paid
by foreign mining companies operating in Chile, a much lower rate than
that of Venezuela and Bolivia. Bachelet, for her part, has not hinted
at raising this meager tax. Therefore,
it is safe to say that at toward the end of her first 100 days in office,
her policies have markedly followed
the free-market context
of her predecessor, Ricardo Lagos. There are, however, several differences
between the two administrations, such as Bachelet’s increase in
social spending, specifically in education and healthcare, her legitimate
effort
to reform the pensions system and a commendable undertaking to eliminate
gender discrimination.
Michelle Bachelet’s presidential style
and thrust differ from that of Ricardo Lagos, with regards to her social
policy but not in terms of the
Chilean economic framework. She comes on the scene just as the country
seems to be drifting away from its militaristic past and heading toward
a more transparent and just society, and she is intent on not simply following
the free-trade guidebook. As Bachelet tries to refashion Chilean society,
she must be sensitive to the fact that often for security reasons, Chileans
have had a larger-than-life capacity for self-appreciation. The fact is
that the moderate center of the nation’s political life, led by the
Christian Democrats, actively counted on the military to rid the country
of Allende rule. As the recent student protests in Santiago have shown,
there are still many lingering social problems facing Chile, including
the need to display as much care and concern for its more humble citizens
as it does for its highly valued investors.
This
analysis was prepared by COHA Research
Associate Craig Jeffries
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Memorandum
to the Press 06.33