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Council On Hemispheric Affairs |
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Monitoring
Political, Economic and Diplomatic Issues Affecting the Western
Hemisphere |
Monday,
August 8, 2005
COHA MEMORANDUM TO THE PRESS
Rocky Road: U.S.-Canadian Relations in Need of Further Repair, Now that Both Sides Make Concessions on Devils Lake Dispute
•
Longstanding, often mean-spirited U.S.-Canadian trade disputes
over lumber, wheat and cattle have soured relations between
the two nations, highlighting a duel between perceived U.S.
protectionism and Canadian belligerence.
• Issues of the environment and defense have added to trade irritants,
making the mixture corrosive to amicable U.S.-Canadian relations.
• Though the unifying factor of the Cold War has dissipated,
the menace of international terrorism and the importance of current
arrangements for free, bilateral trade should transcend petty
differences between the two nations.
In the midst of a contentious dispute over a planned water diversion
project, an agreement was reached by U.S. and Canadian authorities on August
5 to install
a filtration system preventing pollutants and invasive species originating in
North Dakota’s Devils Lake from entering Canadian waterways. The
lake’s near-uncontrollable flooding prompted proposals by U.S. authorities
to divert some of its overflow into Canada’s Lake Winnipeg watershed. However,
Canadian critics argue that the presence of pollutants like salt, phosphorous
and mercury in the U.S. water would be enough to contaminate Canada’s waterways,
upsetting the natural balance of the local ecosystem. Authorities have begun
draining the lake, but the construction of the filtration system will take longer.
Though this issue was resolved amicably, it is just one of many disputes currently
bedeviling U.S.-Canadian relations. Unfortunately, many of these conflicts are
not
so
conducive
to easy solutions.
A Plethora of Concerns
From mad cow to lake diversions to missile defense, disputes
between the U.S. and Canada indicate that relations between
the two North American nations are far from perfect. Beginning
in 2001, new economic or political crises have been triggered
almost every year. The buildup of these standoffs engendered
a mutual tit-for-tat mentality, which is delaying resolution
of various ongoing disagreements, tangling economic and political
issues and making it progressively more difficult to achieve
diplomatic reconciliation.
The U.S. needs its traditional allies more than ever as it attempts
to fight terrorism and match China in its quest for new sources
of energy, just as Canada needs to maintain a productive trade
relationship with its wealthy southern neighbor for its own economic
prosperity. In the words of the 105th American Assembly, a body
of 70 Canadians and Americans that met in New York this last
February under the auspices of Columbia University and the Woodrow
Wilson International Center for Scholars, “each country
has a real interest in enhancing the influence it can gain in
the other as a basis for mutual understanding and strengthened
cooperation” in order to “address the most daunting
global problems.” Though the clear black-and-white international
relationships of the Cold War have dissipated, taking with them
strong U.S.-Canadian defense ties based on common interests,
the threat of international terrorism has replaced the “red
menace” as a universal concern, before which petty differences
should disappear.
Lumber Wars
The earliest trade dispute to surface in recent years concerns Canadian softwood
exports to the U.S. Softwood includes lumber from pine or fir trees and is
often used in housing construction. Currently, Canadian imports make up a
third of the U.S. lumber market, totaling $10 billion a year; they have been
essential to the housing and construction markets in both countries. Despite
the fact that the U.S. started imposing countervailing duties on softwood
imports 25 years ago, the issue was brought to a boil only in 2001 as the
Canada-U.S. Softwood Lumber Agreement, which upheld quotas for Canadian imports,
was due to expire, prompting fears that the U.S. would be inundated with
cheap lumber from its northern neighbor. The U.S. Coalition for Fair Lumber
Imports filed a complaint with the U.S. Department of Commerce in May 2001,
alleging that certain Canadian government regulations amounted to a subsidy
of softwood exports, and allowed Canadian producers to sell the lumber below
world market prices. This complaint was upheld by the U.S. International
Trade Commission (ITC), and the Commerce Department imposed a tariff of 27
percent on lumber imports in 2002. Since the imposition of this impost, the
U.S. Customs Service has been collecting duties from Canadian exporters and
holding the funds until the dispute is resolved.
A number of rulings have been handed down on this issue by panels from the
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and World Trade Organization (WTO)
since 2002. These findings have largely undermined the U.S. case for imposing
the tariffs and have mandated reductions in tariff surcharges. U.S. authorities
have complied with the recalculations of the duties, but decisions striking
down the rationale for the tariffs have been appealed, and the dispute is unlikely
to be resolved until next year at the earliest.
Though the former head of the Alberta Forest Products Association, Garry Leithead,
has called the dispute a “street fight,” U.S. authorities seem
willing to moderate their initially hard-line positions, with the new head
of the Coalition for Fair Lumber Imports, Steve Swanson, stating in a press
conference in June that “a negotiated settlement is the best answer.” In
an interview with COHA, Parker Hogan, the Director of Public Affairs at the
Alberta Forest Products Association, concurred with Swanson’s assertion,
saying that a “negotiated solution” would be best for both sides,
but citing the existence of “fundamental disagreements between the [Canadian
lumber] industry and the United States” and cautioning that the eventual
resolution of the dispute “will be a long process.” He also stated
that the cumulative cost of the dispute to the Canadian lumber industry since
2001 is an impressive $4.6 billion.
Three days of negotiations in Washington D.C. between Canadian and U.S. representatives
were declared “inconclusive” on July 20 as Canadian representatives
lamented Washington’s tough stance. A U.S. proposal to replace countervailing
duties with a lumber export tax fell flat due to Canadian opposition, and a
new round of talks are scheduled for August 22 in Ottawa. Nevertheless, a spokesman
for the U.S. Trade Representative remained optimistic, telling the Alberta
Daily Herald-Tribune that the talks “gave us a better understanding of
each other’s positions.”
Larger Problems
The rulings on softwood have exposed flaws in U.S. trade policy
as a whole. The Byrd amendment, which was passed by the 106th
Congress in 2000 as part of the Agriculture Spending Bill,
allows the government to distribute revenues from antidumping
fines directly to affected U.S. corporations. A September 2004
decision by a WTO panel ruled this measure unfair, as it strongly
encouraged numerous (and in some cases, groundless) antidumping
lawsuits by U.S. companies. In November, the WTO authorized
the EU and Canada, along with Brazil, India, Chile, Mexico,
South Korea and Japan to impose sanctions on strategically-chosen
U.S. products in retaliation for Washington’s refusal
to repeal the amendment. The EU’s and Canada’s
tariffs took effect May 1. Canada’s penalties of 15 percent
affect U.S. exports of cigarettes, oysters, pigs and fish.
Japan plans to impose its own 15 percent tariff on U.S. steel
products, to take effect in September. Canada has also appealed
to the WTO to impose $400 million of further retaliatory sanctions
in direct response to U.S. tariffs on softwood lumber, but
the international body has postponed its decision for the summer.
The outcry over the controversial legislation exposes large
flaws in U.S. policy that go some way to legitimize and exacerbate
Canadian rancor over this and other trade irritants.
Amber Waves of Grain
In a similar trade dispute over spring wheat, a NAFTA panel ruled in early
June that, contrary to a 2003 ITC decision, North Dakota farmers are not
harmed by Canadian imports. The ITC ruling had led to tariffs on Canadian
products of 14.15 percent. However, the ITC now has 90 days to revise their
findings and reintroduce their case. Nevertheless, as critics point out,
the Canadian Wheat Board, which represents Canada’s wheat farmers,
has won 14 trade rulings on this issue from international trade bodies. The
wheat board’s chairman, Adrian Measner, told the Stratford Beacon-Herald in June that the lengthy list of complaints brought against Canadian farmers
amounted to “trade persecution” by the U.S. In light of the overwhelming
number of rulings against the U.S., the Board now wants the U.S. government
to help defray the estimated $15 million spent fighting groundless U.S. complaints.
This trade conflict promises to be as drawn out as the dispute over softwood.
Cattle Crossfire
The U.S.-Canadian cattle saga began in May 2003, when Canadian
beef was banned after the first Canadian case of mad cow disease,
or bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), was confirmed. This
invariably lethal condition affects humans who consume infected
meat, causing a slow deterioration of brain tissue. The subsequent
discovery of the first U.S. case of mad cow in December of
2003 led to a further degeneration of the situation, especially
because the cow was traced to an Alberta farm. The U.S. finding
led to a 53-country ban of U.S. beef imports, including Japan,
the largest U.S. foreign market for beef, at $1.2 billion annually.
According to a Kansas State University study, 2004 estimates
of total U.S. revenue lost from the ban ranged from $2.9 to
$4.2 billion.
Following the January 2005 discovery of two more cases of BSE
in Alberta cows, the latest round of mad cow maneuvers took
place this spring, with multiple
parties competing for influence. For example, as the U.S. Department of Agriculture
planned to loosen restrictions on cattle trade with Canada on March 7, a federal
judge in Montana issued an injunction against the USDA on March 2 at the behest
of R-CALF, a U.S. cattlemen’s group. The day after the judge’s
ruling, the U.S. Senate also voted to block the revival of the cattle trade.
These actions provoked splenetic anger from Canadian cattlemen and U.S. meatpackers,
whose businesses were severely hurt by the trade ban. In fact, in mid-April,
24 organizations representing the interests of Canadian ranchers urged Ottawa
to seek redress through NAFTA or the WTO for what they view as mere protectionist
posturing by the Americans. In mid-June, Alberta Premier Ralph Klein demanded
the border be reopened, calling the entire dispute “nonsense.”
To complicate matters further, a second U.S. case of BSE was confirmed in June.
The animal in question was native, and suffered from a different strain of
the brain-wasting disease than in the first case, indicating that the infection
did not come from Canadian sources. However, the discovery highlighted the
severe shortcomings of the U.S. testing regime, which currently checks approximately
one percent of the 35 million cattle slaughtered in the U.S. each year.
Despite the inadequacy of these precautions, the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of
Appeals voted to open the northern border to cattle imports on July 15, lifting
the ban on Canadian beef and overruling the federal judge’s injunction.
A trial to determine the fate of the injunction, which was originally scheduled
for July 27, was indefinitely postponed pending a review of the circuit court’s
written rationale for lifting the ban. Canadian ranchers and U.S. meatpackers
were elated over the decision, though R-CALF could still appeal the ruling.
The first cattle exports from Canada crossed into the U.S. on July 18th.
Deep Waters
Yet another border dispute over the planned diversion of overflow from Devils
Lake in North Dakota to a Canadian watershed was recently resolved. The project
was scheduled to begin operation this summer, but after strenuous protests
by the Canadian government, operations were stalled until the terms of an agreement
between the U.S. and Canadian governments could be fulfilled. This pact, which
would install a filtration system to rid water of pollutants and aggressive
alien species, was heralded by Manitoba Premier Gary Doer, one of the chief
negotiators, as “a positive development.” The deal was brokered
by the White House Council on Environmental Quality, and allowed Canadian scientists
to test the water in Devils Lake on August 2 to see if it really posed
a significant threat to Canada’s waterways. Critics of the plan argued
that pollutants and alien organisms would upset Canada’s ecosystem, but
the proposed filtration system seems to have allayed these fears. North Dakota
residents are eager that the diversion proceed, as 350 homes have had to be
relocated as a result of Devils Lake’s uncontrollable flooding.
The 1909 Boundary Waters Treaty set up the International Joint Commission to
arbitrate nautical disputes between the two countries, but when the U.S. offered
to refer the Devils Lake project to the IJC in 2003, Canada refused.
Canadian officials now claim that the proposal has changed in the last two
years and that the implications of the situation were not fully understood.
Nevertheless, this reluctance to take advantage of international negotiating
mechanisms cost Canada dearly and eventually led to this summer’s impasse.
In fact, the Devils Lake issue has generated considerable diplomatic
rancor, especially within the last two months. On June 2, the North Dakota
Supreme Court ruled that the diversion could proceed despite a suit brought
by the province of Manitoba and revelations that the effects of the venture
would be detrimental to the environment. The decision angered Manitoba MP Pat
Martin, who told the Canadian Press that Washington’s actions amount
to “blatantly ignoring” Canadian concerns. However, diplomacy triumphed
at the eleventh hour and the matter seems all but resolved.
Political Divergences
Economic disputes have inevitably become intertwined with political disagreements
between Washington and Ottawa. In 2003, Canada’s well-publicized decision
not to support the U.S. invasion of Iraq strained a once solid defense relationship,
and the added insult of Canada’s refusal to contribute to President
Bush’s missile defense initiative last February amounted to a “blunt
rebuff” of the U.S. president, according to the Prince Edward Island
Guardian. The initiative would install a North American ballistic missile
shield through the Cold War relic of the North American Aerospace Defense
Command (NORAD) for the benefit of both the U.S. and Canada.
Though Washington has expressed approbation of Canadian troops sent to Afghanistan
and Haiti, it has been less than pleased with Canada’s refusal to commit
troops to Iraq. However, in light of Martin’s clear refusal to support
the invasion from the outset, the administration had no excuse for surprise.
Official Positions
Though official diplomatic relations between the two neighbors seem normal
enough, definite strains are permeating the U.S.-Canadian relationship. According
to newly-appointed Canadian ambassador to the U.S. Frank McKenna, Washington
should not have been surprised by Martin’s missile defense decision.
In a statement to the press on March 2, McKenna cited Canadian “outrage” over
the ongoing softwood and cattle disputes as partial justification for rejecting
Bush’s defense plan. In fact, he conceded that the decision can accurately
be “construed as the direct result of letting fester” the economic
disagreements.
For their part, Martin and Bush have presented something approaching a united
front; in a press conference during the Crawford Summit in late March, Bush
acknowledged the existence of “differences,” but denied that differing
viewpoints precluded “cooperation” or “finding common ground.” The
American Assembly at Columbia University begs to differ, asserting in its recent
report that “Canada is losing its influence in Washington.” Such
a serious charge must stem from deeper “differences” than either
side cares to officially acknowledge.
Future Repairs
The gravity of the numerous economic and political conflicts between the U.S.
and its northern neighbor demands far more attention and goodwill, as well
as more drastic conciliatory action by both countries than is currently being
offered. A conflict that started over a minor irritant like the softwood
lumber dispute can pick up momentum from a cattle ban and missile defense
decision and become a trade war. It is fast evolving into a diplomatic imbroglio
as well. If Washington does not make at least some symbolic concessions in
its arrogant support of narrow trade interests, and Canada refuses to understand
U.S. concerns like chronic flooding in North Dakota, this indispensable relationship
will further deteriorate.
At this point, relations could be successfully mended by a mutually satisfactory
agreement over the Devil’s Lake issue and some U.S. concessions concerning
commercial disputes. Both sides should realize that the U.S.-Canadian relationship
is of supreme importance to both countries in terms of economics, diplomacy,
security and immigration; it is well worth preserving. Mutual understanding
of this fundamental fact should pave the way for true cooperation in the future,
particularly if Washington – whether under Democratic or Republican control – can
alter its attitude that, when it comes to ties with Canada, familiarity breeds
contempt.
This
analysis was prepared by COHA Research Associate Sara
Evans.
August 8, 2005
For
More Information:
Alden,
Edward and Raphael Minder. “EU
and Canada impose retaliatory duties
on U.S. imports.” Financial Times,
1 April 2005.
Baxter, James. “End mad cow ‘nonsense,’ Klein insists.” The Ottawa Citizen. 14 June 2005.
“Canada gets help in softwood fight.” Calgary Herald. 2 August 2005.
“Canadians can test Devils Lake.” Daily Miner and News. 2 August 2005.
Cotter, John. “Ranchers keen to put mad cow behind them.” Toronto Star 25 July 2005.
Daly, Matthew. “U.S. cuts tariff on softwood lumber from Canada – but Canada says it’s still too high.” Associated Press. 14 December 2004.
“Devils Lake agreement; settlement of filtration system applauded.” Winnipeg Sun. 7 August 2005.
“Devil you know a huge problem.” London Free Press. 12 June 2005.
“Duties ruled unfair.” Calgary Sun. 12 August 2004.
Fox, Jim. “Sanctions target U.S. protectionism.” St. Petersburg Times. 3 April 2005.
“’Freeze U.S.’ over water plan: MP.” Ottawa Citizen. 15 June 2005.
Gorham, Beth. “U.S. still angry over Canada’s missile defense decision.” The Guardian. 2 March 2005.
MacDonald, Jac. “No end in sight to softwood lumber wars.” The Edmonton Journal. 15 June 2005.
McClintock, Maria. “It’s ‘no’ to star wars: Canada shocks Yanks with decision.” Edmonton Sun. 2 March 2005.
Morton, Peter. “Softwood lumber ruling on hold for summer: Yet another trade panwl to investigate U.S. import duties.” National Post's Financial Post & FP Investing. 2 June 2005.
“NAFTA ruling favors Canada.” Stratford Beacon-Herald. 11 June 2005.
“U.S. officials to appeal ruling on Canadian cattle.” The Gazette. 18 March 2005.
“U.S. proposal ‘way out there.’” Daily Herald-Tribune. 21 July 2005.
“Water fight ‘a test’ for feds.” Daily Herald-Tribune. 20 June 2005.
“Whoa, Canada.” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. 18 April 2005.
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