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Council On Hemispheric Affairs |
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Monitoring
Political, Economic and Diplomatic Issues Affecting the Western
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Memorandum to the Press 05.41 |
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Word Count: 2900
Monday, 11 April, 2005
South American Unity May No Longer Be a Distant Dream:
The Region’s Left-leaning Governments Strive for Integration as Washington’s
Plan to Isolate Venezuela’s Chávez Fails
• The possibility of South American unity is more imminent today than at any time since Simón Bolívar’s original vision of continental solidarity.
• South America’s Atlantic coast democratic states consider
political and economic integration both as a way to counter Washington’s
hegemonic influence and as an end in itself.
•
Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez’s Bolivarian Alternative
for the Americas (ALBA), along with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio “Lula” da
Silva and Argentine President Nestor Kirchner’s joint declaration
of the “Buenos Aires Consensus” are examples of the continent’s
growing frustration with the “Washington Consensus” and its
drive to fulfill decades of discussion about Latin America’s own
manifest destiny.
•
South America’s increasing push for unity is also evident in its
hardening opposition to Washington’s proposal for the Free Trade
Area of the Americas (FTAA) and its refusal to follow Washington’s
plan to isolate the Venezuelan president.
•
The model towards which the region’s presidents are striving is the
European Union, which is much more attentive to the social impact of open
markets than the proposed FTAA.
• Unlike
past governments, today’s
center-left democratic states tend to view the grassroots social movements
as allies, not adversaries.
At a summit held on March 29 in Puerto Ordaz, Venezuela, heads of government
from Spain, Colombia, Brazil and Venezuela gathered to discuss an array
of topics, ranging from security issues to regional economic integration.
Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez declared the summit’s intent
to “accelerate the South American integration project as a geopolitical
component because it is the only path that we have: the Latin American
Union.” Displaying his usual rhetorical panache, Chávez said
this path would lead to a “new geopolitical map . . . to counterbalance
the global dominance of the United States.” While eschewing the more
feisty rhetoric of his colleague, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio “Lula” da
Silva chimed in with a subtle barb to Washington by stating that “all
we want to do is occupy our space in the world, show respect for all nations
but also [want] to be respected by them.”
Affirming the Cuzco Declaration
One main purpose of the summit was to affirm the agenda articulated at
an earlier regional summit held last December in Cuzco, Peru. There, 12
South American countries signed an accord to merge the region’s two
main trading blocs, the Andean Community of Nations (CAN) and the Southern
Common Market (MERCOSUR) into a single unified bloc, the South American
Community of Nations (CSN). The political significance of the Cuzco meeting
was that it was the biggest step the continent has yet made towards the
centuries-old ideal of a unified South America. At the meeting, CAN Secretary-General
Allan Wagner told the IPS news service that, “Our ultimate goal is
the United States of South America.” As reported in the Economist,
former Argentine President Eduardo Duhalde noted, “Our mirror will
be the European Union, with all its institutions.” Peruvian President
Alejandro Toledo, invoking standard Chavista bravura, declared, “We
are here to give flesh, bone, soul, heart and life to the dream of Bolívar.” Economically,
Cuzco’s significance lies in its unification of the two formidable
trading blocs MERCOSUR and CAN, which combined serves a population of 360
million, a $1.3 trillion GDP and an export market of $181 billion.
Haven’t We Been Here Before?
Calls for South American unity like President Toledo’s, whether based
on trade or cultural ties, are nothing new to the continent. Dating back
to Bolívar’s inter-American congress in 1826, regional leaders
have frequently gathered at conferences intended to create regional trade
blocs and continental alliances. But flourishing declarations of Latin
unity, with very little to show for them, have provided ample food stock
for cynics among both observers of Latin America as well as its leaders.
For example, commenting on the Cuzco meeting, the former Ecuadoran vice
president, Blaso Penaherrera, observed, “The presidents live from
summit to summit. They’re going to turn into mountain climbers, passing
from summit to summit.” Speaking in a more pragmatic vein, in a recent
NPR broadcast discussion with the author of this piece, Peter Hakim, president
of the Inter-American Dialogue, noted that, “one can talk about trade
agreements among the countries of South America as a very useful advance,
but let’s be real as well – the biggest market in the hemisphere
is the U.S. market. There’s not enough of a market in South America
to really provide the growth that these countries need to break out of
the cycle of poverty.”
In contrast to this skepticism, what stands out regarding the March summit
in Puerto Ordaz and last year’s meeting in Cuzco is that the plethora
of obstacles, which historically have proven to be the bane of South American
unity are now, for the first time, within reach of being surmountable.
Moreover, most of South America is, to some degree, ideologically aligned
along the same democratic, center-left political axis (except Colombia).
This ideological alignment may prove to be a necessary if not a sufficient
condition for regional unity.
Why the Current Drive for Unity May Succeed
The most immediate obstacle to intra-regional trade and unity has always
been the twin barriers of harsh geography and the lack of a sufficient
technological and industrial infrastructure needed to subdue it. As observed
by Brazilian Foreign Minister Celso Amorim, “North America has been
an integrated continent since the 19th century. We have only recently begun
this process ourselves. The Atlantic-Pacific gap, which doesn’t exist
in North America, is dramatic in South America, because of the need to
cross the Andes or the Amazon.”
To overcome such problems, the leaders at Cuzco pledged $4.2 billion to
finance the construction of 32 regional infrastructural projects, scheduled
for completion within the next five years. The projects, which include pipelines,
highways, railways, airports and an array of telecommunications upgrades,
are meant to facilitate a freer intracontinental flow of goods across geographic
divides. If these projects are completed, they will represent an unprecedented
step forward towards the goal of South American unity and economic self-sufficiency.
Why South America is Pursuing Regional Integration
There are two main reasons why South American countries are attempting
to coalesce into a regional trade bloc: first, on the economic front, the
region’s leaders view integration as a boon to their interests; second,
on the political front, the continent’s majority of center-left governments
see South American unity as a way to counteract Washington’s self-serving
designs for the region. These reasons are highlighted in Latin America’s
general frustration towards the proposed Free Trade Area of the Americas
(FTAA), the interhemispheric trade initiative proposed in Miami eleven
years ago.
As the most concrete manifestation of the vaunted “Washington Consensus” of
the early 1990s, the FTAA is viewed by proponents and detractors alike
as the extension of NAFTA to the rest of the hemisphere. To Washington’s
dismay, however, most of South America has become extremely wary of the
FTAA and has been probing the path of intrahemispheric trade as an alternative
to Washington’s preferred plans for bilateral trade agreements, with
Chile being the notable exception. The region’s center-left governments
typically view the FTAA as a possible threat to their fragile economies,
environments and workers’ rights.
For
example, regarding patents, South American countries have witnessed the effects
of
NAFTA on Mexico and the potentially
harmful aspects of its
protection clauses in the NAFTA-inspired Central America Free Trade Agreement
(CAFTA). Writing on the patent issue in the Washington Post on March 30,
Harold Meyerson accurately observed that “CAFTA imposes a five-to-ten
year waiting period on generic competitors . . . CAFTA thus effectively ensures
the drug companies an extension of their monopoly on high-priced medications.
It also ensures that thousands of Central Americans in need of such medications
will have to go without.” On the unjust nature of U.S. trade agreements,
Meyerson further notes “the fundamental reality of most of our trade
accords: They are designed to maximize corporate profits no matter the cost
to the peoples of the signatory nations.”
Not surprisingly, South America’s leaders have chosen strength via
economic integration rather than allow foreign drug companies to pillage
their public health sectors. So long as they see the FTAA as curtailing
their control over their own economies by such means as patent controls,
elimination of social subsidies, and the privatization of the public sector
by foreign investors, they are likely to pursue continental solidarity
as an alternative to Washington’s strategy of divide and conquer.
It’s the Hypocrisy, Stupid
Though the above issues are partly responsible for pushing the region towards
unity, Washington’s egregious double standards in preaching open
markets and free trade as the miracle cure for economic woes while subsidizing
the U.S. agricultural industry are South America’s chief points of
contention with the FTAA. These subsidies, which have cost U.S. taxpayers
$131 billion since 1995, make it impossible for farmers in countries like
Brazil to fairly compete on the global market. When Washington adds tariffs
and quotas to the subsidies, the result is a virtual U.S. shut-down on
South American agro exports. Arguing for the termination of farm subsidies
in Investor’s Business Daily, Dr. Benjamin Powell, director of the
Center on Entrepreneurial Innovation at the Independent Institute, noted
that “Ending farm subsidies in America would also aid impoverished
parts of the world [and] abolishing farm subsidies in rich countries would
add $100 billion to global income.”
Given the subsidies and the FTAA’s privileging of transnational corporate
interests, South America’s leaders have begun proposing intrahemispheric
alternatives in order to protect local economies. In October 2003, Presidents
Lula and Kirchner proposed “The Buenos Aires Consensus,” a
22-point manifesto for regional integration and a proclamation of MERCOSUR
as “not only a commercial bloc but a catalyzing space for shared
values, traditions, and futures.” Similarly, in 2004, Venezuela proposed
Bolivarian Alternative for Latin America and the Caribbean (ALBA) as a
counter to the FTAA.
According to the Venezuelan Bank of External Commerce, ALBA “prioritizes
Latin American integration and sub-regional blocs [and corrects] the disparities
that disadvantage economically weaker countries in the face of the main
economic powers.” On the subsidy issue, ALBA asserts that “It
is unacceptable that the negotiation of agriculture is confined exclusively
to the elimination of tariffs on the part of the developing countries,
while the main powers refuse to eliminate the subsidies and internal aids.” Accordingly,
the Puerto Ordaz and Cuzco summits should be seen in the broader context
of the region’s discontent with Washington’s flawed FTAA.
Regional Leaders Reject Washington’s Revanchist Designs on Chávez
As far as the Bush administration and its defenders are concerned, the
most galling aspect of South America’s push for unity is the role
President Chávez is playing in the process. Peter Hakim, during
the aforementioned interview, most likely articulated how the administration
wishes the region would perceive Chávez when he said that the Venezuelan
leader “is very little respected anywhere in Latin America; to compare
him at all . . . to a Lula or a Lagos or a Kirchner is really defaming
the others. There’s just no comparison between them.”
The problem with Hakim’s statement is that there is scant evidence
to support it but plenty to contradict it. If Hakim were correct, then
what we ought to be seeing is a subtle or deliberate distancing of the
region’s leaders from Chávez. Such disengagement could take
the form of easing him out of trade agreements, lending rhetorical support
to Washington’s incessant attacks on the Venezuelan leader, or publicly
siding with Washington in its diplomatic spats with Caracas. However, the
evidence suggests that the continent’s leaders are moving in the
exact opposite direction.
In an interview with COHA, Deborah James, economic director of the San
Francisco-based human rights group Global Exchange, maintained that Venezuela’s
admission to MERCOSUR as an associate member last July – just one
month before the recall referendum on his presidency – was a clear
message of regional support for Chávez and his movement. In her
words, “They wanted to help make sure he wouldn’t be defeated – it
was a show of solidarity.” Statements from heads of state at the
time substantiate James’ thesis. In President Kirchner’s words, “for
Argentina, it is not only an honor, it is above all a necessity to have
Venezuela with us [in MERCOSUR], so as to deepen the changes that we want
to bring about.”
More significantly, at the Puerto Ordaz summit, President Lula expressed
unwavering support for Chávez against the barrage of Washington’s
criticisms by declaring, “we do not accept defamations and insinuations
against compañeros.” He defended his colleague further by
stating, in response to Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld’s allegations
that Chávez is initiating a regional arms race and Assistant Secretary
of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs Roger Noriega’s accusations
of Chávez’s “suspect relationship with destabilizing
forces in the region,” that “I [Lula] believe that Venezuela
has the right to be a sovereign country. [It] does not need to be accused
of things that those who are with you know is not part of your thought
nor of your behavior.”
Lula’s embrace of Chávez should be viewed as part of the region’s consistent pattern of firming up support for the Venezuelan leader against Washington’s ill-conceived plan to isolate him. Moreover, Uruguayan president Tabaré Vazquez’s immediate post-inauguration signing of energy and telecommunications accords with Chávez is further evidence of this regional pattern.
Particularly irksome to the Bush administration must be knowing that the only center-right regime in the region, Colombia, also is – if not exactly with Chavez – not prepared to be Washington’s ram against him. If Bogotá were entirely on Washington’s side in the latter’s anti-Chávez crusade, then the recent diplomatic row between Uribe and Chávez over Colombia’s kidnapping in Caracas of FARC leader Rodrigo Granda would have played out much differently and in a more bellicose fashion; Uribe certainly would not have personally solicited Castro’s help to end the dispute. Confirming his support of Chávez, on 4 April Uribe said, “Every day we see a more favorable evolution of the Venezuelan government.”
The only tepid support Washington wracked up against Venezuela for its recent arms purchases is Argentina, whose defense minister, José Pampuro, reacted to the Bush administration’s position by saying, “Let us hope that the Venezuelan president’s decision to buy arms does not represent an [arms] escalation in the region.” In accord with the regional pattern, former Argentine President Eduardo Duhalde immediately countered Pampuro when he said, “Why should we be asking why Venezuela has bought arms while we ask no questions about the arms industry of the U.S.? Venezuela has a democratically elected government and Chávez has sailed through a coup undoubtedly supported by the U.S.”
Solidarity with the Social Movements over the FTAA
With South America firmly on the path towards regional unification, we can
speculate on what kind of trade bloc the CSN will eventually look like.
In an interview with COHA, Dr. Hazel Henderson, professor and author of
Beyond Globalization, observed that South America’s leaders are “just
not buying the FTAA. Instead, they’re going the way of Europe. Up
to now there hasn’t been a viable model of economic integration but
the EU is such a model. It’s not like the FTAA or NAFTA – it’s
a much more social model than the neoliberal, free-market paradigm.”
Unlike traditional South American governments, today’s center-left
democracies are generally fused to the region’s new left social movements.
Beverly Bell, director of the Center for Economic Justice, has written that
the objectives of the social movements “go beyond lessening poverty
and redistributing income. They include transforming the nature and application
of power. Political and social organizing among grassroots movements today
strives to redefine power between people, place, state, class and social
groups – what it is, how it is shared, and how it is used.” This
push for more participatory democracy is seen in the growing alliance between
the region’s grassroots political movements and the state, most notably
visible in the Bolivarian circles of Venezuela. These locally organized cooperatives
work with the state on projects that range from literacy outreach and adult
education programs, to building medical clinics and providing government
micro-credits to small business entrepreneurs.
Because many of these governments count the social movements, like the Bolivarian
circles, Landless Workers Movement of Brazil (MST), and numerous indigenous
rights groups as part of their core constituencies, they will be much more
attentive to the social impact of any trade agreement than past governments.
Such attentiveness is clearly seen in Chávez’s ALBA, which asserts
that “the provision of public services must be governed by the social
necessities of the individual and not by their capacity of payment. [Venezuela]
does not accept renouncing the use of public policy . . . to regulate prices
and to assure access of the great majority to essential services.”
As a result of the unfulfilled promises rendered by the “Washington
Consensus” and the quite understandable drive to carve out greater
regional autonomy, South America is closer to an authentic unification than
ever before. Most of the region’s countries share similar economic
urgencies as well as the ideological goal of distancing themselves from Washington’s
political gameplan. In the coming years, observers of the region will be
closely examining how successful its leaders are in making the somewhat imprecise
outlines of a unified continent, as seen in CSN, into an operating reality.
This
analysis was prepared by COHA Senior Research Fellow Seth R. DeLong,
Ph.D.
April
11, 2005
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