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1250 Connecticut Ave. NW, |
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Council On Hemispheric Affairs |
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Monitoring
Political, Economic and Diplomatic Issues Affecting the Western
Hemisphere |
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Memorandum to the Press 05.33 |
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Word Count: 2500
Tuesday, 22 March, 2005
• On March 23, President Bush will
meet with Mexican President Vicente Fox and Canadian Prime Minister
Paul
Martin in Texas for a North American
Summit. The trilateral talks will focus primarily on border security
and trade agreements.
• The Summit comes at a critical time: increasing drug-related violence along the U.S.-Mexican border during the past six months has become a major cause of concern for State Department officials.
• Mexico felt compelled to rebuke the State Department’s January 26 travel alert – cautioning Americans of the “deteriorating security situation” along the border – as an exaggeration of reality.
• Antonio Garza, the U.S. Ambassador to Mexico, only added fuel to the fire by expressing his concerns to Mexican officials.
• President Bush revoked funding for 10,000 new border patrol agents over the next five years, as initially authorized in the intelligence overhaul bill.
• Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice met with President Vicente Fox on March 10 in Mexico City in order to ease the tension over the travel alert, likewise over Garza’s remarks, and to discuss the issue of border security.
• On March 18, the Senate, going against President Bush’s request, voted to provide funds for 2,000 new border patrol agents in 2006, rather than the 210 requested by Bush.
A Romance Derailed
What was initially peddled as the Fox-Bush entente cordiale at the outset
of both of their presidencies, was never more than a photo-op which only
partially developed. What could have been a fruitful romance became a
casualty of 9/11, when the border—which was intended
to be a freeway bringing guest workers to this country—was transformed
into a barrier with miles of fencing and an array of technology meant
to thwart
unwanted
visitors.
Tomorrow, President Bush will meet with Mexican President Vicente Fox
and Canadian Prime Minister Paul Martin in Waco, Texas and his Crawford
ranch for the first, of what some hope to be regular, North American
Summits. The trilateral talks will focus primarily on border security
and trade agreements, but related issues such as drug-trafficking and
immigration will also likely be discussed. While Fox has declared there
will be no new major developments concerning immigration in order to
dampen high expectations on the part of his fellow countrymen, the Summit
is an opportunity for him to strengthen U.S.-Mexico relations which will
help him become a possible claimant to White House solicitude in what
has otherwise been a rocky past few months. In her first trip to Latin
America since being sworn in as Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice
met with Fox on March 10 to finalize an agenda for these talks and to
ease tensions following the State Department’s January travel alert,
which cautioned U.S. travelers of the ongoing violence along the U.S.-Mexican
border. As for Martin, the talks are a chance
for him to work out security issues and perhaps serious trade disputes
over lumber and beef, while attempting to improve his country’s
relations with the U.S. which were frayed by his February 24 announcement
that
Canada will
not
participate in the U.S.’s missile defense shield. Shortly after
Martin’s official announcement, Rice cancelled an
April visit to Canada allegedly due to scheduling issues.
A Chance to Smooth Ruffled Feathers
Rice’s March 10 visit and the upcoming Summit gives the U.S. the
opportunity to reduce friction triggered when Antonio Garza, the U.S.
Ambassador to Mexico, sent a letter to high-ranking Mexican officials
stating that the “deteriorating security situation” is an
increasing cause of concern for Washington as drug-related violence along
the porous border has escalated within the past six months. The sharp
rise in killings and kidnappings, putting border travelers at a greater
risk, is prompting the White House to reexamine its border security.
Measures sought by the U.S. to tighten its borders, mainly contained
in the intelligence overhaul bill passed by Congress in response to the
findings of the 9/11 commission, were on the verge of collapsing after
President Bush decided to withdrawal his support and slash the bill’s
funding. However, in a surprise March 18 decision, the Senate demonstrated
its willingness to challenge President Bush by amending
his reduced funding
for the bill. Going against his request, the Senate voted to provide
proper funds for 2,000 new border agents, as initially stipulated in
the legislation. Indeed, the amendment to the budget marks a rare instance
of collaboration between both Republicans and Democrats. Last year’s
intelligence measure also called for 800 new “interior investigators” rather
than the 143 that the administration was prepared to fund.
The White House’s action was a departure from the widely held belief
that once an illegal migrant makes it safely over the border there is
little probability that he or she will be detained. The importance of
this fact is that the president is of two minds on the subject: while
he wants a secure border he also wants to supply his big industrial and
agribusiness leaders with the cheap Mexican labor on which they depend.
The
Bush Administration’s Negligence
The Bush administration’s decision not to hire 2,000 new border
patrol agents for 2006 should come as no surprise to those paying close
attention to Washington’s continual neglect of border issues. The
timing of this decision, coming approximately five days after Garza’s
stinging criticism, is indeed perplexing. However, this legislative attack
on the U.S.’s “southern neighbor” and Washington’s
present inability to control the flow of undocumented workers and to
fight organized crime is being rebuked by Mexican officials, who are
not reluctant to claim that “meddlesome” Americans should
mind their own business. As the White House continues to voice its concern
over border-related violence, one must ask why—in a post 9/11 environment
where security trumps all other matters of national interest—is
Bush so reluctant to expand the number of border patrol agents. According
to just released data by the Pew Hispanic Center, the nation’s
number of undocumented illegal immigrants has reached 10.3 million, with
almost 500,000 arriving annually between 2000-2004 and the majority—57
percent—from Mexico.
The Crux of the Matter
On January 26, the State Department issued an alert for American nationals
traveling along the violence-ridden border. Intended to caution border
travelers of the growing drug-related violence, the alert was met with
a fierce denunciation by Mexican officials. The matter only worsened
after Garza, in a letter to Mexican officials, expressed his concern
that Mexico is unable to control criminal activity and the drug trade
along its side of the border. Garza further stressed that such ineffectiveness
in curtailing violence could have a detrimental effect on “cross-border
exchange, tourism and commerce,” which are essential to the region’s
affluence. This effrontery has been met with considerable ire by Mexican
officials, particularly those who remain sensitive to any perceived
threat of Washington intervening in their country’s affairs.
President Fox, in addition to Foreign Minister Luis Derbez and Interior
Minister Santiago Creel, vehemently denounced Garza’s letter
as an exaggeration of reality.
Creel is quick to point out that in recent years, Mexico and the U.S.
have worked together to effectively reduce the billions of dollars of
cocaine, heroin and methamphetamines trafficked across national borders.
Creel adds that Mexico has made unprecedented progress in the jailing
of notorious drug kingpins such as Benjamin Arellano Fox, head of the
Tijuana cartel, and Osiel Cardenas, leader of the Gulf cartel. In recent
weeks, however, it has become clear that the incarceration of these cartel
heads is not helping to impede the drug war.
According to Michael Yoder, the U.S. consul in Nuevo Laredo, Arellano
and Cardenas, working in close collaboration from their adjacent prison
cells, are running their operations from within La Palma—one of
Mexico’s toughest maximum-security prisons—with the help
of corrupt guards and administrators. Recently, Mexico’s federal
authorities raided La Palma in an effort to regain control of the prison
from Arellano and Cardenas—an episode raising legitimate questions
concerning Mexico’s ability to combat the drug war in a professional
and effective manner. Given these circumstances, one could argue that
Garza’s claims are, in fact, not an exaggeration of the truth.
Rather, drug-related corruption appears to be a neglected reality that
officials, such as Interior Minister Creel, must confront with actions
instead of snarling rhetoric. If he were to do so, perhaps Mexico could
move off the U.S.’s “Majors List,” the government’s
list of “major drug-transit or major illicit drug-producing countries.” Named
to the 2004 list, the report stated that “the vast majority of
illicit drugs entering the United States continue to come from South
America and Mexico.” Still, when it is convenient for the Bush
administration—such as the effective functioning of the North American
Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) or appreciation of Fox’s past support
for Washington’s anti-Castro maneuvers—the White House does
not hesitate to express its positive feelings about Fox.
Lack of Coordination
There may be some merit in Garza’s accusations that Mexican authorities
are unable to “come to grips with the rising drug warfare” that
is plaguing the nation and undoubtedly contributing to the border crisis,
as Garza stated in his letter. But Mexico is not solely to blame; the
Bush administration must also shoulder much of the culpability. The proposed
huge hiring program of new agents outlined in the bill would nearly double
the size of border patrol within the next five years—a monumental
increase in manpower that could help stymie the rampant violence along
the border. According to Border Patrol statistics, violence along the
Arizona border has been particularly high: agents along a 260-mile stretch
of the Arizona-Mexico border—more commonly known as the Tucson
sector—are being assaulted at a rate of once every two days.
Tom Ridge, then-secretary of the Department of Homeland Security, indicated
that, in spite of the ineffectiveness of the administration’s border
deterrence strategy, the president would not seek to have the funding
appropriated for the additional 2,000 agents for the fiscal year of 2006.
In a series of tactless remarks, Ridge referred to the intelligence bill’s
10,000 agents to be hired over ten years as “fools gold” and
an ineffective use of Homeland Security funds. Undersecretary of Homeland
Security Asa Hutchinson’s comments echoed Ridge’s sentiments,
when he stated that funding issues within the department precluded such
a large increase in man power and as a result the addition of 2,000 border
patrol agents annually “would not be doable [this year] within
our budget constraints.”
It would appear that the remarks of both Ridge and Hutchinson, who resigned
his post on March 1, seem to reflect Washington’s primary focus
on the budgetary requirements of the Middle East. While it is the responsibility
of the Department of Homeland Security to “mobilize and organize
our nation to secure the [nation] from terrorists,” ensuring “safe
and secure borders,” the White House continues to sacrifice the
integrity of its domestic policies in order to combat serious issues
abroad. Despite the departure of both Ridge and Hutchinson, it is rather
unfortunate that Americans will, in
all likelihood, continue to be subjected to a similar array of mixed
signals from this administration’s erratic history regarding border security
policies.
Role Reversal
Bush’s decision to withdraw the funding originally set forth in
the intelligence overhaul bill is certainly peculiar. In a letter to
Congress while the bill was being debated, the president praised the
increased hiring of border patrol officials, calling it “an important
step in strengthening our immigration laws.” Why then has he so
suddenly turned his back on such a pivotal issue involving national security?
Senator F. James Sensenbrenner (R-WI), chairman of the House Judiciary
Committee, expressed his disappointment concerning former Secretary Ridge’s
comments, citing them as contradictory to the security reforms previously
praised by Bush. In a letter of his own, Sensenbrenner wrote to Bush
petitioning him to reconsider his decision and asking for the president’s
full support for the measure. “Now that you have signed into law
the conference report implementing the recommendations of the 9/11 commission,
we […] are asking you to join us in seeking full funding for the
resources it authorizes.”
T.J. Bonner, President of the National Border Patrol Council (NPBC),
called Bush’s decision to retract funding for a staffing increase
a grave error. He also stated that Bush’s plan to substitute sensors
and surveillance technology in exchange for the proposed 10,000 border
patrol agents—an approximate $74 million endeavor—strains
credibility. Although this technology may be useful in locating illegal
border-crossers, it presents neither a physical deterrent nor an effective
barrier.
Terrorism Remains Prevalent
The recent diplomatic spat with Mexico highlights Washington’s
need for national borders to remain an effective barrier against terrorism
and weapons of mass destruction (WMD). The potential problem, however,
is that increased security along the border could possibly disrupt the
normal functioning of free trade under the guidelines of NAFTA. The challenge
for the U.S., then, is striking a delicate balance between the safeguarding
of national interests and the flow of trade.
Although no evidence to date indicates that either terrorists or WMD
have crossed the border into the U.S., the potential risk remains high.
A February 17 article in the New York Times (“U.S. Aides Cite Worry
on Al Qaeda Infiltration from Mexico”) suggested that Al Qaeda
has considered infiltrating the U.S. through the Mexican border. Although
this information was reported in written testimony by Admiral James Loy,
deputy secretary of Homeland Security, no conclusive evidence currently
exists to support the case. Rather, these warnings seem to represent
the increasing concerns of law enforcement officials and those who believe
terrorism to be the U.S.’s top threat.
It’s
Not About the Money
The lack of coordination between the U.S. and Mexico, as witnessed
in the series of recent border disputes, should not and cannot continue
to be a platform
for such undiplomatic, "he-said-she-said" displays. Rather, there must be
an emphasis on confronting these issues together with cooperative law
enforcement
and policy making. Garza, in an attempt to smooth some of the feathers he
had managed to ruffle, announced that the U.S. Agency for International Development
will pledge $5 million over the next four years to assist Mexico in the cultivation
of justice reforms promoting professional training for prosecutors, defense
attorneys and judges. This move, certainly a step in the right direction,
however, must be viewed cautiously when taking into consideration the president’s
decision to revoke the intelligence overhaul bill’s funding.
Interestingly enough, the border issue does not seem to be a question
of proper funding as witnessed by the combined $79 million offered by President
Bush and Ambassador Garza. Rather, it is matter of providing the necessary
reinforcements so eloquently termed as “fools gold” by former Secretary
Ridge. If anything at all, Ridge’s comments seem to imply something that
most already know: the war in Iraq will continue to be Washington’s primary
focus. Nonetheless, it will be interesting to see how the U.S.-Mexican border
controversy continues to develop in light of the Senate’s decision to
amend the intelligence overhaul bill and as a result of the outcome of the
North American Summit.
This analysis was prepared by COHA Research Associate Adam Kleiman.
March
22, 2005
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