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Council On Hemispheric Affairs |
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Monitoring Political, Economic and Diplomatic Issues Affecting the Western Hemisphere |
Tuesday,
October 11,
2005
COHA
MEMORANDUM TO THE PRESS
Larry Birns and John Kozyn on:
Haiti – And You Call This an Election?
• Secretary
Rice, on a whirlwind trip to Haiti, glosses over problems that are doomed
to chain-saw upcoming elections.
•
Iraq’s election
morass is modest when compared to Haiti’s.
•
The State Department is much softer on its incompetent and malevolent
interim Haitian Prime Minister Gerard Latortue, than it is on a string
of Central Asian countries like Uzbekistan, even though the former’s
derelictions are equally deplorable.
• Rice sees only qualified evil when it comes to the jailing of the islands major democratic leaders who cannot participate in the election because they have been incarcerated on no, or purely invented charges.
• Does Rice know something? – that
Neptune and Jean-Juste will be released hours after the election; thus
preventing Lavalas from
running and likely winning, but allowing her, at the same time and
after the fact, to say that U.S. intervention got them released.
• U.S. strategy is to keep Lavalas from power no matter
the tortured reasoning involved.
• U.N. political representation
in Haiti and the Brazil-led peacekeeping force have failed in their
dual mission to bring stability and law
and order to Haiti.
Haiti is a country you can’t easily get your arms
around and if you do, it will beat you off in a moment. Uzbekistan’s
human rights abuses get a lot of attention, but Haiti’s much greater
violations dwell undisturbed under a U.S. rug. On an in-and-out trip to
Haiti on September 27, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice stressed the
importance of Haiti’s upcoming presidential balloting on November
20 to her “democratic promotion” campaign, aimed at legitimizing
her alleged Haitian game plan for returning to constitutional rule. Haiti’s
democratic system was traumatized for the second time within several years,
when the U.S. orchestrated the ouster of its de jure president, Jean-Bertrand
Aristide, on February 29 of last year. In actuality, Rice is anxious to
rid her agenda of Haiti as close to cost-free as possible. Any administration
that selected as its interim leader of the island a figure as reprehensible
as Gerard Latortue, is interested in “democracy promotion” only
as a sound-bite.
Rice’s pronounced apprehensions over the turbulence bedeviling Haiti’s preparations for its ill-starred November 20 elections, are somewhat less startling than what she chose not to say. Not a word was mentioned about the human rights violations which are being repeatedly committed by the Haitian National Police along with the UN peacekeepers, and only a few musty words were given over to the catastrophic state of the country’s judicial system, which tolerates the outrageous detention, on totally fabricated charges, of such notable political prisoners as Father Jean-Juste and former Prime Minister Yvon Neptune. Meanwhile, if the election does take place, Rice is not likely to find a problem in validating it as fair, because Washington will state, ex cathedra, that this was the case, and who would care? Making such a statement would be merely one more example of the grotesque parody of a democratic electoral process that is now being implemented in Haiti by Latortue’s non-redeeming interim regime. As noted, Washington created Gerard Latortue, who was far better known for living a low silhouette life in quiet semi-retirement in a gated community in Boca Raton as well as for his radio program over a local station, than for having any visceral connection with his motherland Haiti, a country that he had scarcely visited in recent years. Simply put, we are witnessing a fraud in the making.
Looking at the manner in which Haiti is now being run, you will have to come up with the judgment that interim Prime Minister Latortue is the perfect candidate to head FEMA – he has established beyond question that he is the quintessential total incompetent, and that he has neither the heart to relate to a populace, nor the administrative capacity to run a country. Let alone devoid of any leadership qualities, Latortue has plunged a dagger through the heart of Haiti’s scarcely functioning democracy by allowing brigands and knaves to be given positions of privileges. Both in style and substance, Haiti under Latortue has been blasphemed.
During her trip to Haiti, Rice implored
the interim government to speed up planning for November's elections
and had some misty words
about speeding
up trials, but she did not use the opportunity to order that the State
Department’s legman Latortue must release all political prisoners,
headed by Jean-Juste and Neptune and that the personal security of those
affiliated with the pro-Aristide Lavalas party be guaranteed, in order
for the upcoming election not to be a greater parody than it already is.
Not Ready for an Election
The fact that Rice was spotlighting attention on the need for speeding
up election preparations may have been somewhat harsh, considering that
the Haitian government has been creating many new polling stations. Unfortunately,
most of them are being furnished in the better off urban areas of the country,
while the slums on the outskirts of the city and rural areas are being
woefully neglected. Clearly, Rice’s statements indicate that she
is aware that all Haitians will not have equal access and the same opportunity
to participate in elections which she is on record as seeing as being a “powerful
weapon” and as “a precious step on the road to democracy.” However,
assuming such access may be a patently inaccurate conclusion on her part,
considering that a majority of Haitians live on under two dollars a day,
and will be hard pressed to afford the trip to distant election booths.
When it comes to acceptable norms for a free and fair election in Haiti,
Secretary Rice has lowered the bar so far that it is now scraping the ground.
On November 20th, Haiti is scheduled to hold the first round of its presidential election. Indisputably the most impoverished and forlorn of all the hemispheric nations, Haiti also has been the nation most frequently singled out for U.S. intervention in the region. Such interventions, such, as the one which took place in early 2004, had the U.S. orchestrate the ouster of constitutionalist president Jean-Bertrand Aristide. Under him, according to Washington, Haiti had become a “failed state” and he had to go because under his friend, President Préval, Haiti allegedly had staged “fraudulent elections.” This became the justification for the likes of former Senator Jesse Helms to pressure the White House to turn off the spigot for crucially needed foreign aid.
A Tortuous Recent History
Ballot box stuffing, intimidation of the electorate by armed cutpurses,
as well as ghastly massacres of potential voters have routinely occurred
during Haiti’s tortuous history. The few opportunities that the
country has had to break out of its dismal cycles of foreign control
or strongman repression eventually ended in wreckage. In less than two
months, Haitians will again go to the polls to participate in an election
that will be so blemished that Rice will be unable to sell it to the
American people, let alone to Haitians as being the real thing. As a
result, it is all but certain that the island will be denied taking advantage
of one of its rare opportunities to institutionalize democratic procedures.
Under the auspices of the outrageously unqualified and malignant Latortue,
together with the grossly disappointing performance of the Brazilian-led
UN peacekeeping force, and the decent but indecisive Chilean political
broker dispatched by the UN’s Kofi Annan, distressingly little
has been accomplished and the plight of the average Haitian is as bleak
as ever. Haitians are once again being urged to the polls to vote for
a president under totally unacceptable conditions, while the UN has created
for itself the unenviable record of being far more adept at killing innocent
Haitians than bringing stability to the country. What is almost worse
is that Brazil’s president Lula da Silva doesn’t even seem
to care about the bad name that Brazil’s Haitian military operation
is giving to his country.
In moving ahead with a bankrupt Haiti policy,
Secretary Rice fails to comprehend the despair of the Haitian electorate
as it
contemplates voting
again for a president – as the island’s voters did in 1990
and again in 2000 – only to be certain that exercising the ballot
will fail to achieve an electoral solution, but only more conflict and
killings. Those who voted for President Aristide’s Fanmi Lavalas party in recent elections, only to see their vote later invalidated by
Washington’s malevolence, can only wonder why they bother to even
vote when it will be the U.S. embassy in Port-au-Prince who will be the
final arbiter of how the island will be ruled.
A Bleak History
Haiti's current political landscape seems eerily familiar to that which
was left in the ruinous wake of the departure of Baby Doc Duvalier
in 1986. If
those times, when one murderous military regime came upon another, were a
tragedy for the nation, then the plotting last year by the United
States, France and
Canada, together with the generous fig leaf supplied by the UN’s Kofi
Annan, led to the voiding of the popular vote by the abrupt removal of Aristide
from office. His immediate quasi-abduction to an African location, whose name
was not even disclosed to him at the time, was the final insult to Washington’s
pretensions as being democracy’s contractor in Haiti.
Starting over a year ago, the interim government’s infamous ex-minister
of justice, Bernard Gousse, began to systematically imprison (invariably
without any evidence or charges) leading Lavalas figures, while at the
same time he set much more relaxed standards when it came to the treatment
of murderous rightwing villains – some of whom were released from
jail in spite of the fact they had been found guilty of an array of brutalities.
The anti-Aristide cabal led by the State Department never had a word that
clearly condemned Gousse, who routinely violated constitutional norms to
prosecute Aristide partisans, while convicted murderers like Louis-Jodel
Chamblain, who former Secretary of State Colin Powell referred to as a “thug,” walked
the streets with a beaming Gousse, a free man.
Haiti’s widely assailed Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) declared
some 30 candidates eligible to contest the November presidential elections.
Their sheer number, along with CEP’s antique methodology, almost
assures that a run-off will take place. Haiti's political spectrum includes
parties from the far-right, to centrist liberals, to socialists and even
more radical parties. Even Baby Doc Duvalier is rumored to be considering
to return to witness, but not necessarily run in the race. However, most
parties are more tiny factions than bona fide parties. One particularly
unsavory candidate who declared his candidacy was Frank Romain, the former
mayor of Port-au-Prince, who was the subject of an extradition writ in
1989 for ordering a military unit to open fire upon voters waiting in
line to cast their ballot, killing scores and forcing the abortion of
that contest; this violence led to three years of bloody military-dominated-rule.
How very little distance Haiti has come since then, as the arbitrary
crushing of the poor continues in a nation that proudly introduced to
the world, over two centuries ago, the beginnings of the human rights
movement in this hemisphere.
It’s a Question of Numbers
Secretary Rice’s baffling problem is that no party in Haiti's history
has been able to draw the numbers that ousted President Jean-Bertrand Aristide’s
Lavalas party has been able to attract. Nothing that the State Department
can do seems to lessen those numbers. From gaining 67.5% of the electorate
in 1990, every ballot since has resulted in Lavalas winning by sizeable
majorities. U.S. embassy officials have informed Washington that if Lavalas
had been able to nominate either a Yvon Neptune or a Gérard Jean-Juste
in the approaching elections, and have Latortue guarantee their personal
security; there would be little doubt that history would repeat itself.
If so, this would again have undermined Washington’s game plan to
deny power to Lavalas. To restate the matter, there is no question that
in any presidential race that would be internationally validated as being
free and fair, Lavalas would have once again won decisively. Such an eventuality
would pose an enormous conundrum for the administration since it would
mark a grave set-back for State Department policy which was based on preventing
the possibility of any return of Aristide influence to Haiti, an event
it has gone to great length to prevent – including the arbitrary
invalidation of his presidency by de facto exile.
As of today, the Rev. Gérard Jean-Juste (a Catholic priest, as Aristide was in 1990), languishes in the National Penitentiary, and is not likely to be the Lavalas standard-bearer, although he is by far the country’s most popular potential candidate. Former President (and Prime Minister in the first Aristide presidency) René Préval, who in the past has been close to Aristide, has now entered the fray as an independent candidate, and whose organizational skills and positive reputation attracted tens of thousands of voters to newly register, could be a strong prospect in the field if he’s allowed to win and then run in the inevitable run-off.
One faction of Lavalas has formed a coalition with Marc Bazin’s MIDH party, a particularly adroit move on the part of the former World Bank official, who, although long condemned for repeated acts of opportunism and self-glorification, in recent months has been displaying a seriousness of purpose in recognizing the genuine appeal of Lavalas to Haiti’s masses. Once considered a pariah by Haitian patriots and charged by many progressives and populists as being too close to Washington, he has lately re-manufactured himself from the days when he briefly served as a figurehead for the “de facto” government that replaced Aristide in 1991. But later switching gears, he then went on to serve as a minister in two subsequent Lavalas governments.
Without a Father Jean-Juste to galvanize
the Haitian masses, Lavalas’ leadership
may best be served by aligning with Bazin or, of course, Préval.
Moreover, since the anti-Aristide de facto coup of 2004, it has only been
Bazin among the traditional leadership sector, who has supported Lavalas
and he was also very forthright in criticizing the interim government’s
egregious incompetence. Between now and February, much is likely to happen;
at that date the victor in the run-off is scheduled to take office, but
first the U.S.-led anti-Aristide cabal has much to lose if the electoral
process continues to take a chaotic course.
If one views the forthcoming elections in Haiti as a mindless exercise
in "procedural democracy," the vote itself will provide far
from indisputable evidence of quality governance. Haiti’s basic
fact of life today is that neither economic nor political democracy exists
in the country, and no one could venture to claim that the vote of a
subsistence farmer in Haiti's Artibonite valley will carry the same political
weight after the election as that of a Pétion-ville businessman.
In underdeveloped nations around the world,
where class cleavage stands out as an overwhelming fact of life, a political
rhetoric
is being called
into play which claims that it means to empower the intended audience.
The language of political discourse today in Haiti among the poor is not
unlike that found in the "favelas" of Sao Paulo, or the broken
barrios of Lima – the rhetoric may be similar because the basic conditions
that spawn the despair is almost interchangeable.
The most gifted politicians, like religious leaders, are suppose to make
the electorate feel germane to the political process and convinced that
they are vital to their nation’s future. Aristide was particularly
adept at empowering the poor. But for the United States, the very concept
remains almost a frightening specter. It is almost synonymous with Fidel
Castro, therefore making it an abomination for Washington, therefore
sealing the Haitian leader’s fate and the island with him.
This analysis was prepared by COHA Director Larry Birns and John Kozyn.
Larry Birns is the director of the Washington-based Council
on Hemispheric Affairs.
John Kozyn was the director of the Washington Office on Haiti.
October
11,
2005
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Memorandum
to the Press 05.106