• In spite of the at times deceptive salesmanship, NAFTA has never been a win-win situation.
• Bill Clinton’s legacy as the prime NAFTA pusher comes back to haunt Hillary.
• The contention that NAFTA will be heavily modified, if not dropped, is more “pie in the sky,” with the more likely political template, being that once victorious, either one of the Democratic primary contestants will be disinclined to roil the waters with a fight over the pact.
• Some comments on Cuban trade
Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton repeatedly tells the nation that she always has been wary of NAFTA, and would be prepared to suspend compliance with the trade agreement, if need be, should Canada and Mexico oppose reopening the pact to a new round of negotiations. Candidate Obama, while speaking in the same vein, has been less specific, if anything, than even Clinton in calling for the revision of NAFTA. If Obama is occasionally muddled on the free trade issue, he at least is not revising history when it comes to NAFTA, as has been the case with candidate Clinton regarding her own as well as her husband’s record on the subject. On a number of occasions in recent weeks, she has been insisting that she always has been against NAFTA, in spite of the record contradicting such claims. The embarrassing fact is that, over the years, on a number of occasions, she has spoken in support of the trade pact, stressing its importance to the American economy.
Regarding Cuba, Hillary Clinton has insisted that she would not be prepared to enter into discussions with Havana unless a number of pre-conditions were met, including Cuba’s adoption of an open market system. Her critics will attack her on this point, on the grounds that no nation has the right to mandate what economic system or trade policies another nation should embrace unless it has freely affiliated with such a proposal and is not violating its previously established pledges. Cuba has made no such commitment to U.S.-style free trade. In fact, throughout Latin America, there is a distinct counter-trend in the direction back to the region’s traditional economic model, which features a mixed economy composed of strong public and private sectors.
Monthly Archive: March 2008
Democratic Primaries: The Resurrection of NAFTA as a Cause Célèbre
Permanent link to this article: http://www.coha.org/democratic-primaries-the-resurrection-of-nafta-as-a-cause-celebre-and-some-comments-on-cuba/
Will U.S. economic woes expose Latin America to new turmoil?
JANE BUSSEY Is the party winding down? After riding an export boom that sent economic growth surging to its highest levels in three decades, Latin America now finds itself vulnerable to U.S. financial turmoil and the possibility that world commodity …
Permanent link to this article: http://www.coha.org/will-us-economic-woes-expose-latin-america-to-new-turmoil/
Haiti: President Préval Seeks an Electoral Amendment
• Préval strives to strengthen country’s democratic institutions, but Aristide Factor still unresolved
• Another Presidential Term for Aristide?
One can understand why Haiti’s President René Préval is so tirelessly pressing for a constitutional amendment whereby an incumbent president could immediately run for reelection, rather than having to wait at least one term. But the new arrangement could be fraught with danger. Not all Latin American democratic institutions are sufficiently durable to withstand the buffeting emanating from strongmen with authoritarian aspirations.
A long presidency tends to provide such a strongman with the time and space to evolve a personalistic system in the spirit of 19th century continuismo that incorporates political powerhouse tactics, as well as pushing for vested interests. Democratic societies of uncertain virtue may be best served by a process that relies upon rotation in office and other buffering processes which discourage the sprouting of permanent roots and the special arrangements that guard against venality, which can be improved over time. Single-term presidency provides less time for self-serving accommodations to be made, thus discouraging graft and opportunities for other forms of corruption.
A year into his second term as Haiti’s president, René Préval, like so many of his regional counterparts, raised the issue of amending his country’s constitution in order to reinvent the traditional term limits concerning the chief executive. The issue arises against a background of human rights violations, continuing gang violence in Haiti’s urban areas, a poorly trained and equipped national police force, and concerns about the effectiveness of foreign troops supposedly bringing order to the country.
Permanent link to this article: http://www.coha.org/haiti-president-preval-seeks-and-electoral-amendment/
Espionage to proceed under Raul Castro, sources say
Carmen Gentile MIAMI – Cuba will maintain its extensive spy network under new President Raul Castro, a U.S. authority on Cuban espionage and a former Cuban intelligence official said. Chris Simmons, a former Cuba analyst for the Defense Intelligence Agency, …
Permanent link to this article: http://www.coha.org/espionage-to-proceed-under-raul-castro-sources-say/
Regarding Macedonia/Greece and Dominica
Greek Ambassador to Washington Responds to Op-Ed piece by COHA Senior Research Fellow Zlatko Kovach The points made by Zlatko Kovach in his Op-Ed piece, “Macedonia: Reaching Out to Win Latin American Hearts and Minds,” have been responded to by …
Permanent link to this article: http://www.coha.org/dominica-getting-it-straight/

